Statistics / Football / Belarus. 1. Division / BATE II vs Ostrovets FC

BATE II vs Ostrovets FC Statistics & Analysis

BATE II BATE II
Oct 02, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.30
1 1.30
xG Accuracy: 85%
Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 BATE II Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11249166

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · BATE II 1–1 Ostrovets FC
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 1. Division
  • Fixture: BATE II vs Ostrovets FC
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): BATE II 1.3 — Ostrovets FC 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 04, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
1. Division 1. Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 FC Slutsk 27 17 6 4 57
2 Niva 27 17 4 6 55
3 Lida 27 17 3 7 54
4 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 27 16 5 6 53
5 Slonim 27 14 5 8 47
6 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 26 14 3 9 45
7 Shakhter Soligorsk 27 11 7 9 40
8 Bumprom 26 11 5 10 38
9 Dinamo Minsk II 25 10 5 10 35
10 Ostrovets FC 27 8 11 8 35
11 Volna 27 10 4 13 34
12 Smorgon 27 9 6 12 33
13 Minsk II 26 9 3 14 30
14 Orsha 27 7 6 14 27
15 Uni Minsk 26 6 8 12 26
16 BATE II 27 5 7 15 22
17 Gomel II 27 5 6 16 21
18 Osipovichy 27 5 4 18 19
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Niva 27 67 31 +36 55
2 FC Slutsk 27 56 28 +28 57
3 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 27 56 31 +25 53
4 Shakhter Soligorsk 27 52 44 +8 40
5 Lida 27 51 43 +8 54
6 Bumprom 26 50 40 +10 38
7 Slonim 27 49 32 +17 47
8 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 26 45 40 +5 45
9 Dinamo Minsk II 25 42 37 +5 35
10 Volna 27 40 50 -10 34
11 Ostrovets FC 27 37 39 -2 35
12 Minsk II 26 36 48 -12 30
13 Gomel II 27 36 55 -19 21
14 BATE II 27 36 61 -25 22
15 Smorgon 27 33 36 -3 33
16 Osipovichy 27 29 67 -38 19
17 Orsha 27 28 51 -23 27
18 Uni Minsk 26 25 35 -10 26
1. Division Belarus. 1. Division Predictions