Statistics / Football / Belarus. 1. Division / Bumprom vs Lida

Bumprom vs Lida Statistics & Analysis

Bumprom Bumprom
Sep 19, 2026 - 11:30
4 1.30
0 1.30
xG Accuracy: 33%
Lida Lida
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Bumprom Bumprom ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8661700

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bumprom win · Bumprom 4–0 Lida
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 1. Division
  • Fixture: Bumprom vs Lida
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 11:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Bumprom 1.3 — Lida 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
1. Division 1. Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Niva 25 16 3 6 51
2 FC Slutsk 25 15 6 4 51
3 Lida 25 15 3 7 48
4 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 25 14 5 6 47
5 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 25 14 3 8 45
6 Slonim 25 13 4 8 43
7 Bumprom 25 11 4 10 37
8 Shakhter Soligorsk 25 10 6 9 36
9 Dinamo Minsk II 25 10 5 10 35
10 Volna 25 10 4 11 34
11 Ostrovets FC 25 8 9 8 33
12 Smorgon 25 8 6 11 30
13 Minsk II 25 9 3 13 30
14 Orsha 25 7 5 13 26
15 Uni Minsk 25 6 7 12 25
16 Gomel II 25 5 6 14 21
17 BATE II 25 5 6 14 21
18 Osipovichy 25 5 3 17 18
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Niva 25 63 31 +32 51
2 Shakhter Soligorsk 25 49 43 +6 36
3 FC Slutsk 25 48 24 +24 51
4 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 25 48 30 +18 47
5 Bumprom 25 47 37 +10 37
6 Lida 25 47 42 +5 48
7 Slonim 25 46 30 +16 43
8 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 25 44 36 +8 45
9 Dinamo Minsk II 25 42 37 +5 35
10 Volna 25 40 44 -4 34
11 Minsk II 25 36 46 -10 30
12 Ostrovets FC 25 35 37 -2 33
13 BATE II 25 34 58 -24 21
14 Gomel II 25 33 48 -15 21
15 Smorgon 25 30 34 -4 30
16 Orsha 25 27 46 -19 26
17 Osipovichy 25 26 62 -36 18
18 Uni Minsk 25 24 34 -10 25
1. Division Belarus. 1. Division Predictions