Statistics / Football / Canada. Northern Super League / Montreal Roses vs Ottawa Rapid

Montreal Roses vs Ottawa Rapid Statistics & Analysis

Montreal Roses Montreal Roses
Oct 02, 2026 - 23:00
0 1.26
0 1.34
xG Accuracy: 49%
Ottawa Rapid Ottawa Rapid
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Ottawa Rapid Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 03:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10986102

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Montreal Roses 0–0 Ottawa Rapid
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Northern Super League
  • Fixture: Montreal Roses vs Ottawa Rapid
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 23:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Montreal Roses 1.26 — Ottawa Rapid 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Northern Super League Northern Super League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Montreal Roses 22 10 8 4 38
2 AFC Toronto 22 10 7 5 37
3 Ottawa Rapid 23 11 4 8 37
4 Vancouver Rise 22 8 3 11 27
5 Halifax Tides 22 7 5 10 26
6 Calgary Wild 21 4 5 12 17
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ottawa Rapid 23 44 41 +3 37
2 Vancouver Rise 22 41 47 -6 27
3 Montreal Roses 22 38 25 +13 38
4 AFC Toronto 22 36 21 +15 37
5 Calgary Wild 21 25 50 -25 17
6 Halifax Tides 22 21 21 0 26