Statistics / Football / Canada. Northern Super League / Ottawa Rapid vs Calgary Wild

Ottawa Rapid vs Calgary Wild Statistics & Analysis

Ottawa Rapid Ottawa Rapid
Sep 20, 2026 - 23:00
3 1.43
1 1.17
xG Accuracy: 62%
Calgary Wild Calgary Wild
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Ottawa Rapid Ottawa Rapid ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8700251

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Ottawa Rapid win · Ottawa Rapid 3–1 Calgary Wild
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Northern Super League
  • Fixture: Ottawa Rapid vs Calgary Wild
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 23:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.3%
  • xG (showing): Ottawa Rapid 1.43 — Calgary Wild 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Northern Super League Northern Super League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 AFC Toronto 22 10 7 5 37
2 Montreal Roses 20 10 6 4 36
3 Ottawa Rapid 22 11 3 8 36
4 Vancouver Rise 21 8 3 10 27
5 Halifax Tides 21 7 4 10 25
6 Calgary Wild 20 3 5 12 14
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ottawa Rapid 22 44 41 +3 36
2 Vancouver Rise 21 40 44 -4 27
3 Montreal Roses 20 38 25 +13 36
4 AFC Toronto 22 36 21 +15 37
5 Calgary Wild 20 22 49 -27 14
6 Halifax Tides 21 21 21 0 25
Northern Super League Canada. Northern Super League Predictions