Statistics / Football / Canada. Northern Super League / Vancouver Rise vs AFC Toronto

Vancouver Rise vs AFC Toronto Statistics & Analysis

Vancouver Rise Vancouver Rise
Jun 28, 2026 - 22:30
1 1.25
3 1.35
xG Accuracy: 59%
AFC Toronto AFC Toronto
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 AFC Toronto AFC Toronto ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1449350

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result AFC Toronto win · Vancouver Rise 1–3 AFC Toronto
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Northern Super League
  • Fixture: Vancouver Rise vs AFC Toronto
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-28 21:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Vancouver Rise 1.25 — AFC Toronto 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Northern Super League Northern Super League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 AFC Toronto 22 10 7 5 37
2 Montreal Roses 20 10 6 4 36
3 Ottawa Rapid 22 11 3 8 36
4 Vancouver Rise 21 8 3 10 27
5 Halifax Tides 21 7 4 10 25
6 Calgary Wild 20 3 5 12 14
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ottawa Rapid 22 44 41 +3 36
2 Vancouver Rise 21 40 44 -4 27
3 Montreal Roses 20 38 25 +13 36
4 AFC Toronto 22 36 21 +15 37
5 Calgary Wild 20 22 49 -27 14
6 Halifax Tides 21 21 21 0 25
Northern Super League Canada. Northern Super League Predictions