Statistics / Football / Romania. Liga II / FC Voluntari vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

FC Voluntari vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Statistics & Analysis

FC Voluntari FC Voluntari
May 12, 2026 - 17:00
2 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 FC Voluntari FC Voluntari ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga II
  • Fixture: FC Voluntari vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-12 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): FC Voluntari 1.45 — Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 70.8% · Implied: 49.5% · Probability edge: +21.3 pts · Est. EV: +33.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 70.8% · No 29.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (13.0%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Best Bet + Reason

Primary pick from the decision engine: BTTS Yes.

Model probability is compared to implied probability from odds to highlight a probability edge; EV uses the same model probability with the best decimal price tracked.

Edges shrink quickly if prices move; always re-check the number on your book.

FAQ

How should I read EV versus a probability gap?

Probability edge = model probability minus implied probability (reported here in percentage points). EV ≈ model probability × best tracked decimal odds − 1, shown as return per unit stake. They are related but not interchangeable labels.

What changes first if odds move?

Implied probabilities and EV move immediately with price; model probabilities in this snapshot do not update until the pipeline is re-run. Refresh after material line moves.

Safer market than correct score?

Markets with more liquidity and smoother prices (often 1X2 or O/U 2.5 from many books) are usually easier to reason about than long-tail correct-score prices; still read EV on each leg.

Why might 1X2 look unattractive while totals do not?

Tight 1X2 prices often embed a fair three-way split, so EV on match-winner can sit negative even when Over/Under or BTTS still diverges from the model — compare the 1X2 row on the market cards to O/U and BTTS.

Risk Factors

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

  • Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
  • Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 17, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Liga II Liga II — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Corvinul Hunedoara 21 16 5 0 53
2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 21 13 5 3 44
3 Chindia Targoviste 21 12 3 6 39
4 Bihor Oradea 21 12 3 6 39
5 FC Voluntari 21 11 6 4 39
6 CSA Steaua Bucureşti 21 12 3 6 39
7 ASA Targu Mures 21 11 4 6 37
8 CSM Reşiţa 21 10 3 8 33
9 FC Bacau 21 9 6 6 33
10 Metalul Buzău 21 10 2 9 32
11 Politehnica Iasi 21 9 4 8 31
12 CS Afumati 21 9 3 9 30
13 Concordia 21 8 3 10 27
14 Gloria Bistriţa 21 7 5 9 26
15 Slatina 21 7 5 9 26
16 Dumbrăviţa 21 7 4 10 25
17 Viitorul Şelimbăr 21 5 5 11 20
18 Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ 21 5 3 13 18
19 CS Dinamo București 21 3 7 11 16
20 Tunari 21 3 7 11 16
21 CSM Satu Mare 21 4 2 15 14
22 Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 21 2 4 15 10
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bihor Oradea 21 40 24 +16 39
2 Chindia Targoviste 21 38 20 +18 39
3 Corvinul Hunedoara 21 37 13 +24 53
4 ASA Targu Mures 21 37 22 +15 37
5 CSA Steaua Bucureşti 21 36 27 +9 39
6 CSM Reşiţa 21 35 29 +6 33
7 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 21 34 18 +16 44
8 Metalul Buzău 21 33 26 +7 32
9 FC Voluntari 21 30 16 +14 39
10 CS Afumati 21 30 26 +4 30
11 Concordia 21 29 24 +5 27
12 Gloria Bistriţa 21 29 29 0 26
13 FC Bacau 21 28 26 +2 33
14 Slatina 21 27 28 -1 26
15 Viitorul Şelimbăr 21 27 32 -5 20
16 Politehnica Iasi 21 25 22 +3 31
17 Dumbrăviţa 21 25 33 -8 25
18 Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ 21 20 43 -23 18
19 CS Dinamo București 21 19 35 -16 16
20 Tunari 21 19 36 -17 16
21 CSM Satu Mare 21 19 45 -26 14
22 Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 21 10 53 -43 10
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