Statistics / Football / South-Korea. WK-League / Gumi Sportstoto vs Suwon FMC

Gumi Sportstoto vs Suwon FMC Statistics & Analysis

Oct 02, 2026 - 10:00
0 1.38
1 1.22
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Gumi Sportstoto Suwon FMC ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 00:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10965152

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Suwon FMC win · Gumi Sportstoto 0–1 Suwon FMC
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: WK-League
  • Fixture: Gumi Sportstoto vs Suwon FMC
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Gumi Sportstoto 1.38 — Suwon FMC 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 44.3% · Probability edge: +7.5 pts · Est. EV: +15.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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WK-League WK-League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Suwon FMC 26 19 2 5 59
2 Hwacheon KSPO 27 15 9 3 54
3 Seoul 27 11 4 12 37
4 Boeun Sangmu 26 11 3 12 36
5 Gyeongju 26 9 7 10 34
6 Gumi Sportstoto 26 9 5 12 32
7 Incheon Red Angels 26 6 6 14 24
8 Changnyeong 26 4 6 16 18
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Suwon FMC 26 59 21 +38 59
2 Hwacheon KSPO 27 38 13 +25 54
3 Gyeongju 26 36 32 +4 34
4 Boeun Sangmu 26 26 32 -6 36
5 Gumi Sportstoto 26 25 33 -8 32
6 Seoul 27 25 34 -9 37
7 Changnyeong 26 23 50 -27 18
8 Incheon Red Angels 26 21 38 -17 24