Statistics / Football / South-Korea. WK-League / Incheon Red Angels vs Hwacheon KSPO

Incheon Red Angels vs Hwacheon KSPO Statistics & Analysis

Incheon Red Angels Incheon Red Angels
Oct 02, 2026 - 10:00
0 1.26
3 1.34
xG Accuracy: 45%
Hwacheon KSPO Hwacheon KSPO
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Hwacheon KSPO Hwacheon KSPO ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 00:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10965107

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Hwacheon KSPO win · Incheon Red Angels 0–3 Hwacheon KSPO
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: WK-League
  • Fixture: Incheon Red Angels vs Hwacheon KSPO
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Incheon Red Angels 1.26 — Hwacheon KSPO 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
WK-League WK-League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Suwon FMC 24 18 2 4 56
2 Hwacheon KSPO 24 13 8 3 47
3 Gyeongju 24 9 7 8 34
4 Boeun Sangmu 24 10 3 11 33
5 Gumi Sportstoto 24 9 4 11 31
6 Seoul 24 9 3 12 30
7 Incheon Red Angels 24 6 5 13 23
8 Changnyeong 24 3 6 15 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Suwon FMC 24 58 19 +39 56
2 Gyeongju 24 35 29 +6 34
3 Hwacheon KSPO 24 32 11 +21 47
4 Boeun Sangmu 24 25 31 -6 33
5 Gumi Sportstoto 24 24 31 -7 31
6 Seoul 24 22 33 -11 30
7 Changnyeong 24 21 49 -28 15
8 Incheon Red Angels 24 20 34 -14 23