Suwon FMC vs Changnyeong Statistics & Analysis

Suwon FMC

Aug 07, 2026 - 10:30

0 1.41

0 1.19

xG Accuracy: 49%

Changnyeong

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Suwon FMC Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 0-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 01, 2026 · 01:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2667061

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Suwon FMC 0–0 Changnyeong

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: WK-League
Fixture: Suwon FMC vs Changnyeong
Kickoff: 2026-08-07 10:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
xG (showing): Suwon FMC 1.41 — Changnyeong 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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WK-League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Suwon FMC	24	18	2	4	56
2	Hwacheon KSPO	24	13	8	3	47
3	Gyeongju	24	9	7	8	34
4	Boeun Sangmu	24	10	3	11	33
5	Gumi Sportstoto	24	9	4	11	31
6	Seoul	24	9	3	12	30
7	Incheon Red Angels	24	6	5	13	23
8	Changnyeong	24	3	6	15	15

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Suwon FMC	24	58	19	+39	56
2	Gyeongju	24	35	29	+6	34
3	Hwacheon KSPO	24	32	11	+21	47
4	Boeun Sangmu	24	25	31	-6	33
5	Gumi Sportstoto	24	24	31	-7	31
6	Seoul	24	22	33	-11	30
7	Changnyeong	24	21	49	-28	15
8	Incheon Red Angels	24	20	34	-14	23