Seoul vs Changnyeong Statistics & Analysis

Seoul

Aug 01, 2026 - 10:00

3 1.54

1 1.06

xG Accuracy: 66%

Changnyeong

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Seoul Seoul ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 01:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1787445

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Seoul win · Seoul 3–1 Changnyeong

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: WK-League
Fixture: Seoul vs Changnyeong
Kickoff: 2026-08-01 10:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 46.8% · Draw 28.7% · Away 24.6%
xG (showing): Seoul 1.54 — Changnyeong 1.06 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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WK-League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Suwon FMC	24	18	2	4	56
2	Hwacheon KSPO	24	13	8	3	47
3	Gyeongju	24	9	7	8	34
4	Boeun Sangmu	24	10	3	11	33
5	Gumi Sportstoto	24	9	4	11	31
6	Seoul	24	9	3	12	30
7	Incheon Red Angels	24	6	5	13	23
8	Changnyeong	24	3	6	15	15

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Suwon FMC	24	58	19	+39	56
2	Gyeongju	24	35	29	+6	34
3	Hwacheon KSPO	24	32	11	+21	47
4	Boeun Sangmu	24	25	31	-6	33
5	Gumi Sportstoto	24	24	31	-7	31
6	Seoul	24	22	33	-11	30
7	Changnyeong	24	21	49	-28	15
8	Incheon Red Angels	24	20	34	-14	23