Statistics / Football / South-Korea. WK-League / Gyeongju vs Incheon Red Angels

Gyeongju vs Incheon Red Angels Statistics & Analysis

Jul 11, 2026 - 10:00
2 1.28
1 1.32
xG Accuracy: 75%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Incheon Red Angels Gyeongju ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 02:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1538051

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Gyeongju win · Gyeongju 2–1 Incheon Red Angels
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: WK-League
  • Fixture: Gyeongju vs Incheon Red Angels
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-11 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Gyeongju 1.28 — Incheon Red Angels 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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WK-League WK-League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Suwon FMC 24 18 2 4 56
2 Hwacheon KSPO 24 13 8 3 47
3 Gyeongju 24 9 7 8 34
4 Boeun Sangmu 24 10 3 11 33
5 Gumi Sportstoto 24 9 4 11 31
6 Seoul 24 9 3 12 30
7 Incheon Red Angels 24 6 5 13 23
8 Changnyeong 24 3 6 15 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Suwon FMC 24 58 19 +39 56
2 Gyeongju 24 35 29 +6 34
3 Hwacheon KSPO 24 32 11 +21 47
4 Boeun Sangmu 24 25 31 -6 33
5 Gumi Sportstoto 24 24 31 -7 31
6 Seoul 24 22 33 -11 30
7 Changnyeong 24 21 49 -28 15
8 Incheon Red Angels 24 20 34 -14 23