Chengdu Rongcheng II vs Hubei Chufeng Heli Statistics & Analysis

Chengdu Rongcheng II

Aug 08, 2026 - 11:35

3 1.48

2 1.12

xG Accuracy: 52%

Hubei Chufeng Heli

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Chengdu Rongcheng II Chengdu Rongcheng II ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 01:20 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2812696

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Chengdu Rongcheng II win · Chengdu Rongcheng II 3–2 Hubei Chufeng Heli

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: League Two
Fixture: Chengdu Rongcheng II vs Hubei Chufeng Heli
Kickoff: 2026-08-08 11:35:00
1X2 (model): Home 43.9% · Draw 29.1% · Away 27.1%
xG (showing): Chengdu Rongcheng II 1.48 — Hubei Chufeng Heli 1.12 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 41.2% · Probability edge: +7.0 pts · Est. EV: +10.9%
BTTS (model): Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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