Statistics / Football / Australia. NNSW League 1 / Dudley Redhead United vs Wallsend Red Devils

Dudley Redhead United vs Wallsend Red Devils Statistics & Analysis

Dudley Redhead United Dudley Redhead United
Jun 21, 2026 - 05:00
0 1.31
0 1.29
xG Accuracy: 49%
Wallsend Red Devils Wallsend Red Devils
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Dudley Redhead United Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 18:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1624037

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Dudley Redhead United 0–0 Wallsend Red Devils
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: NNSW League 1
  • Fixture: Dudley Redhead United vs Wallsend Red Devils
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-21 05:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Dudley Redhead United 1.31 — Wallsend Red Devils 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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NNSW League 1 NNSW League 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Wallsend Red Devils 9 6 2 1 20
2 Lake Macquarie 9 6 1 2 19
3 Dudley Redhead United 10 6 1 3 19
4 New Lambton 9 5 2 2 17
5 Newcastle Croatia FC 9 4 0 5 12
6 West Wallsend 8 3 1 4 10
7 Cessnock City Hornets 9 2 3 4 9
8 Singleton Strikers 9 2 3 4 9
9 Toronto Awaba Stags 10 2 1 7 7
10 South Cardiff 8 2 0 6 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Lake Macquarie 9 28 12 +16 19
2 Wallsend Red Devils 9 25 14 +11 20
3 Newcastle Croatia FC 9 21 24 -3 12
4 Dudley Redhead United 10 20 15 +5 19
5 New Lambton 9 17 10 +7 17
6 West Wallsend 8 15 22 -7 10
7 Cessnock City Hornets 9 12 11 +1 9
8 Toronto Awaba Stags 10 11 25 -14 7
9 Singleton Strikers 9 8 13 -5 9
10 South Cardiff 8 6 17 -11 6