Statistics / Football / USA. USL W League / Port City NC vs North Carolina Fusion W

Port City NC vs North Carolina Fusion W Statistics & Analysis

Port City NC Port City NC
Jun 24, 2026 - 22:30
5 1.43
0 1.17
xG Accuracy: 27%
North Carolina Fusion W North Carolina Fusion W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Port City NC Port City NC ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 5-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 27, 2026 · 17:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2053157

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Port City NC win · Port City NC 5–0 North Carolina Fusion W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: USL W League
  • Fixture: Port City NC vs North Carolina Fusion W
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-24 22:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.3%
  • xG (showing): Port City NC 1.43 — North Carolina Fusion W 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
USL W League USL W League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Indy Eleven W 7 4 1 2 13
2 Racing Louisville W 6 3 2 1 11
3 Dayton Dutch Lions W 5 3 1 1 10
4 Toledo Villa W 6 0 0 6 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Indy Eleven W 7 19 4 +15 13
2 Racing Louisville W 6 9 6 +3 11
3 Dayton Dutch Lions W 5 8 8 0 10
4 Toledo Villa W 6 3 21 -18 0