Charlottesville Blues W vs Virginia Development Academy W Statistics & Analysis

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Validation Report

AI match briefing

Model Performance

AI Match Summary

Historical Recommendation

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Last Updated

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USL W League — Standings

Charlottesville Blues W

Jun 17, 2026 - 23:00

1 1.15

2 1.45

xG Accuracy: 82%

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Virginia Development Academy W

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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Virginia Development Academy W Virginia Development Academy W ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 30, 2026 · 04:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11946095

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Virginia Development Academy W win · Charlottesville Blues W 1–2 Virginia Development Academy W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: USL W League
Fixture: Charlottesville Blues W vs Virginia Development Academy W
Kickoff: 2026-06-17 23:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 28.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 42.4%
xG (showing): Charlottesville Blues W 1.15 — Virginia Development Academy W 1.45 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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