Statistics / Football / USA. USL W League / Los Angeles SC W vs Sta Clarita Blue Heat

Los Angeles SC W vs Sta Clarita Blue Heat Statistics & Analysis

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Los Angeles SC W
Jun 22, 2026 - 02:00
0 1.27
9 1.33
xG Accuracy: 9%
Sta Clarita Blue Heat Sta Clarita Blue Heat
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Sta Clarita Blue Heat Sta Clarita Blue Heat ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-9 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 14:31 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1606058

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sta Clarita Blue Heat win · Los Angeles SC W 0–9 Sta Clarita Blue Heat
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: USL W League
  • Fixture: Los Angeles SC W vs Sta Clarita Blue Heat
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-22 02:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): Los Angeles SC W 1.27 — Sta Clarita Blue Heat 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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USL W League USL W League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Indy Eleven W 7 4 1 2 13
2 Racing Louisville W 6 3 2 1 11
3 Dayton Dutch Lions W 5 3 1 1 10
4 Toledo Villa W 6 0 0 6 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Indy Eleven W 7 19 4 +15 13
2 Racing Louisville W 6 9 6 +3 11
3 Dayton Dutch Lions W 5 8 8 0 10
4 Toledo Villa W 6 3 21 -18 0