Patuxent W vs Loudoun United FC W Statistics & Analysis

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Validation Report

AI match briefing

Model Performance

AI Match Summary

Historical Recommendation

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Last Updated

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USL W League — Standings

Patuxent W

Jun 21, 2026 - 21:00

1 1.08

14 1.52

xG Accuracy: 3%

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Loudoun United FC W

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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (15 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Loudoun United FC W Loudoun United FC W ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 1-14 ✖ Incorrect

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 18:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1487783

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Loudoun United FC W win · Patuxent W 1–14 Loudoun United FC W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: USL W League
Fixture: Patuxent W vs Loudoun United FC W
Kickoff: 2026-06-21 21:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 25.4% · Draw 28.8% · Away 45.8%
xG (showing): Patuxent W 1.08 — Loudoun United FC W 1.52 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.2% · No 46.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.2% · No 46.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.2%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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