Knoxville vs SSA Royals Statistics & Analysis

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Validation Report

AI match briefing

Model Performance

AI Match Summary

Historical Recommendation

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Last Updated

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USL W League — Standings

Knoxville

Jun 20, 2026 - 23:00

1 1.29

1 1.31

xG Accuracy: 85%

SSA Royals

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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 SSA Royals Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 29, 2026 · 23:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2448586

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Knoxville 1–1 SSA Royals

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: USL W League
Fixture: Knoxville vs SSA Royals
Kickoff: 2026-06-20 23:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
xG (showing): Knoxville 1.29 — SSA Royals 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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