Statistics / Football / USA. USL W League / Pleasanton Rage vs Stockton Cargo

Pleasanton Rage vs Stockton Cargo Statistics & Analysis

Pleasanton Rage Pleasanton Rage
Jun 19, 2026 - 02:00
2 1.15
1 1.45
xG Accuracy: 70%
Stockton Cargo Stockton Cargo
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Stockton Cargo Pleasanton Rage ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 2-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 00:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1660452

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Pleasanton Rage win · Pleasanton Rage 2–1 Stockton Cargo
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: USL W League
  • Fixture: Pleasanton Rage vs Stockton Cargo
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-19 02:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 28.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 42.4%
  • xG (showing): Pleasanton Rage 1.15 — Stockton Cargo 1.45 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Indy Eleven W 7 4 1 2 13
2 Racing Louisville W 6 3 2 1 11
3 Dayton Dutch Lions W 5 3 1 1 10
4 Toledo Villa W 6 0 0 6 0
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1 Indy Eleven W 7 19 4 +15 13
2 Racing Louisville W 6 9 6 +3 11
3 Dayton Dutch Lions W 5 8 8 0 10
4 Toledo Villa W 6 3 21 -18 0