Statistics / Football / Gambia. GFA League / Fortune vs Real de Banjul

Fortune vs Real de Banjul Statistics & Analysis

Fortune Fortune
Jun 17, 2026 - 16:30
1 0.89
0 0.91
xG Accuracy: 76%
Real de Banjul Real de Banjul
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 draw Fortune ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 0-0, 0-1, 1-0, 1-1, 0-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 04:20 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1550281

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Fortune win · Fortune 1–0 Real de Banjul
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: GFA League
  • Fixture: Fortune vs Real de Banjul
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-17 16:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.3% · Draw 36.4% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Fortune 0.89 — Real de Banjul 0.91 (total xG ≈ 1.8)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 73.1% · Over 2.5 26.9%); BTTS No (Yes 37.0% · No 63.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 37.0% · No 63.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-0 (16.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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GFA League GFA League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Medina United 28 14 6 8 48
2 Fortune 28 12 11 5 47
3 Bombada 28 11 11 6 44
4 GPA 28 11 11 6 44
5 Brikama United 28 11 9 8 42
6 Real de Banjul 28 9 14 5 41
7 Team Rhino 28 9 10 9 37
8 Hart Acedemy 28 8 11 9 35
9 Dutch Lions 28 7 12 9 33
10 BST Galaxy 28 7 12 9 33
11 Hawks 28 7 10 11 31
12 Falcons 28 6 13 9 31
13 Greater Tomorrow 28 7 10 11 31
14 Steve Biko 28 5 14 9 29
15 TMT 28 6 11 11 29
16 Samger 28 5 13 10 28
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bombada 28 34 26 +8 44
2 Brikama United 28 33 27 +6 42
3 Hart Acedemy 28 32 31 +1 35
4 Fortune 28 31 21 +10 47
5 Medina United 28 31 24 +7 48
6 Dutch Lions 28 29 28 +1 33
7 Real de Banjul 28 28 21 +7 41
8 Team Rhino 28 25 23 +2 37
9 BST Galaxy 28 24 31 -7 33
10 Steve Biko 28 23 26 -3 29
11 Hawks 28 23 29 -6 31
12 GPA 28 22 17 +5 44
13 Greater Tomorrow 28 22 32 -10 31
14 Samger 28 20 25 -5 28
15 TMT 28 17 27 -10 29
16 Falcons 28 16 22 -6 31