FarDu vs Kattaqurgon Statistics & Analysis

FarDu

Oct 12, 2026 - 10:00

0 1.32

3 1.28

xG Accuracy: 43%

Kattaqurgon

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 FarDu Kattaqurgon ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 07, 2026 · 02:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13664570

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Kattaqurgon win · FarDu 0–3 Kattaqurgon

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Pro League A
Fixture: FarDu vs Kattaqurgon
Kickoff: 2026-10-12 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): FarDu 1.32 — Kattaqurgon 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Pro League A — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Aral	22	17	4	1	55
2	Shortan	22	14	4	4	46
3	Metalourg	22	13	5	4	44
4	FarDu	22	11	7	4	40
5	Gazalkent	22	11	5	6	38
6	Lochin	22	11	5	6	38
7	Kattaqurgon	21	11	3	7	36
8	Olimpik-Mobiuz	20	9	5	6	32
9	Respublika FA	21	8	4	9	28
10	Yaypan	22	7	4	11	25
11	Jayxun	22	7	3	12	24
12	Pakhtakor II	22	3	1	18	10
13	BuxDu	22	3	1	18	10
14	Qiziriq	22	1	1	20	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Metalourg	22	50	17	+33	44
2	Aral	22	47	14	+33	55
3	Gazalkent	22	41	26	+15	38
4	Shortan	22	39	21	+18	46
5	FarDu	22	39	32	+7	40
6	Olimpik-Mobiuz	20	37	24	+13	32
7	Lochin	22	34	26	+8	38
8	Respublika FA	21	30	30	0	28
9	Kattaqurgon	21	27	20	+7	36
10	Yaypan	22	26	40	-14	25
11	Jayxun	22	24	30	-6	24
12	BuxDu	22	19	56	-37	10
13	Pakhtakor II	22	16	51	-35	10
14	Qiziriq	22	12	54	-42	4