Statistics / Football / Russia. Supreme Division Women / Zvezda Perm W vs Krylya Sovetov W

Zvezda Perm W vs Krylya Sovetov W Statistics & Analysis

Zvezda Perm W Zvezda Perm W
Oct 03, 2026 - 09:00
1 1.17
1 1.43
xG Accuracy: 85%
Krylya Sovetov W Krylya Sovetov W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Krylya Sovetov W Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11218740

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Zvezda Perm W 1–1 Krylya Sovetov W
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Supreme Division Women
  • Fixture: Zvezda Perm W vs Krylya Sovetov W
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 29.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.4%
  • xG (showing): Zvezda Perm W 1.17 — Krylya Sovetov W 1.43 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Supreme Division Women Supreme Division Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Zenit W 19 17 2 0 53
2 CSKA Moskva W 19 16 1 2 49
3 Spartak Moskva 19 13 4 2 43
4 Lokomotiv Moskva W 19 12 4 3 40
5 Krylya Sovetov W 19 9 5 5 32
6 Dinamo Moskva 19 10 1 8 31
7 Chertanovo 20 7 3 10 24
8 Rubin Kazan 20 5 8 7 23
9 Zvezda Perm W 20 4 5 11 17
10 Krasnodar W 19 2 8 9 14
11 Rostov 20 3 4 13 13
12 Ryazan W 20 1 6 13 9
13 Yenisey W 19 0 3 16 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Zenit W 19 52 5 +47 53
2 CSKA Moskva W 19 51 9 +42 49
3 Spartak Moskva 19 44 12 +32 43
4 Lokomotiv Moskva W 19 35 9 +26 40
5 Krylya Sovetov W 19 26 21 +5 32
6 Chertanovo 20 24 35 -11 24
7 Rubin Kazan 20 22 26 -4 23
8 Dinamo Moskva 19 20 17 +3 31
9 Krasnodar W 19 15 29 -14 14
10 Zvezda Perm W 20 13 34 -21 17
11 Ryazan W 20 11 41 -30 9
12 Yenisey W 19 7 44 -37 3
13 Rostov 20 6 44 -38 13