Rostov vs Zvezda Perm W Statistics & Analysis

Rostov

Sep 20, 2026 - 13:00

1 1.29

1 1.31

xG Accuracy: 85%

Zvezda Perm W

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Zvezda Perm W Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 00:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8656262

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Rostov 1–1 Zvezda Perm W

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Supreme Division Women
Fixture: Rostov vs Zvezda Perm W
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 10:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
xG (showing): Rostov 1.29 — Zvezda Perm W 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Supreme Division Women — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Zenit W	18	16	2	0	50
2	CSKA Moskva W	19	16	1	2	49
3	Spartak Moskva	18	13	4	1	43
4	Lokomotiv Moskva W	18	11	4	3	37
5	Krylya Sovetov W	18	9	4	5	31
6	Dinamo Moskva	18	9	1	8	28
7	Rubin Kazan	19	5	8	6	23
8	Chertanovo	19	6	3	10	21
9	Zvezda Perm W	19	4	4	11	16
10	Krasnodar W	18	2	7	9	13
11	Rostov	19	3	3	13	12
12	Ryazan W	19	1	6	12	9
13	Yenisey W	18	0	3	15	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Zenit W	18	51	5	+46	50
2	CSKA Moskva W	19	51	9	+42	49
3	Spartak Moskva	18	44	11	+33	43
4	Lokomotiv Moskva W	18	33	9	+24	37
5	Krylya Sovetov W	18	25	20	+5	31
6	Rubin Kazan	19	22	25	-3	23
7	Chertanovo	19	22	34	-12	21
8	Dinamo Moskva	18	19	17	+2	28
9	Krasnodar W	18	15	29	-14	13
10	Zvezda Perm W	19	12	33	-21	16
11	Ryazan W	19	10	39	-29	9
12	Yenisey W	18	7	42	-35	3
13	Rostov	19	6	44	-38	12