Rubin Kazan vs Zenit W Statistics & Analysis

Sep 06, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.03
3 1.57
xG Accuracy: 51%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Zenit W Zenit W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 01:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6124590

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Zenit W win · Rubin Kazan 0–3 Zenit W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Supreme Division Women
  • Fixture: Rubin Kazan vs Zenit W
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-05 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 23.3% · Draw 28.4% · Away 48.3%
  • xG (showing): Rubin Kazan 1.03 — Zenit W 1.57 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.5% · No 47.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.5% · No 47.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.0%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Supreme Division Women Supreme Division Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Zenit W 18 16 2 0 50
2 CSKA Moskva W 19 16 1 2 49
3 Spartak Moskva 18 13 4 1 43
4 Lokomotiv Moskva W 18 11 4 3 37
5 Krylya Sovetov W 18 9 4 5 31
6 Dinamo Moskva 18 9 1 8 28
7 Rubin Kazan 19 5 8 6 23
8 Chertanovo 19 6 3 10 21
9 Zvezda Perm W 19 4 4 11 16
10 Krasnodar W 18 2 7 9 13
11 Rostov 19 3 3 13 12
12 Ryazan W 19 1 6 12 9
13 Yenisey W 18 0 3 15 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Zenit W 18 51 5 +46 50
2 CSKA Moskva W 19 51 9 +42 49
3 Spartak Moskva 18 44 11 +33 43
4 Lokomotiv Moskva W 18 33 9 +24 37
5 Krylya Sovetov W 18 25 20 +5 31
6 Rubin Kazan 19 22 25 -3 23
7 Chertanovo 19 22 34 -12 21
8 Dinamo Moskva 18 19 17 +2 28
9 Krasnodar W 18 15 29 -14 13
10 Zvezda Perm W 19 12 33 -21 16
11 Ryazan W 19 10 39 -29 9
12 Yenisey W 18 7 42 -35 3
13 Rostov 19 6 44 -38 12