Statistics / Football / Russia. Supreme Division Women / Spartak Moskva vs Zvezda Perm W

Spartak Moskva vs Zvezda Perm W Statistics & Analysis

Spartak Moskva Spartak Moskva
Aug 29, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.70
0 0.90
xG Accuracy: 64%
Zvezda Perm W Zvezda Perm W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Spartak Moskva Spartak Moskva ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 01:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5122750

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Spartak Moskva win · Spartak Moskva 1–0 Zvezda Perm W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Supreme Division Women
  • Fixture: Spartak Moskva vs Zvezda Perm W
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 54.7% · Draw 26.9% · Away 18.3%
  • xG (showing): Spartak Moskva 1.7 — Zvezda Perm W 0.9 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS No (Yes 50.0% · No 50.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 50.0% · No 50.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Supreme Division Women Supreme Division Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Zenit W 17 15 2 0 47
2 CSKA Moskva W 18 15 1 2 46
3 Spartak Moskva 17 12 4 1 40
4 Lokomotiv Moskva W 17 11 3 3 36
5 Krylya Sovetov W 17 9 3 5 30
6 Dinamo Moskva 17 9 1 7 28
7 Chertanovo 18 6 3 9 21
8 Rubin Kazan 18 4 8 6 20
9 Zvezda Perm W 18 4 3 11 15
10 Krasnodar W 18 2 7 9 13
11 Rostov 18 3 2 13 11
12 Ryazan W 18 1 6 11 9
13 Yenisey W 17 0 3 14 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Zenit W 17 48 5 +43 47
2 CSKA Moskva W 18 47 9 +38 46
3 Spartak Moskva 17 41 11 +30 40
4 Lokomotiv Moskva W 17 33 9 +24 36
5 Krylya Sovetov W 17 25 20 +5 30
6 Chertanovo 18 22 30 -8 21
7 Rubin Kazan 18 20 25 -5 20
8 Dinamo Moskva 17 19 14 +5 28
9 Krasnodar W 18 15 29 -14 13
10 Zvezda Perm W 18 11 32 -21 15
11 Ryazan W 18 10 36 -26 9
12 Yenisey W 17 7 40 -33 3
13 Rostov 18 5 43 -38 11
Supreme Division Women Russia. Supreme Division Women Predictions