Zvezda Perm W vs Chertanovo Statistics & Analysis

Zvezda Perm W

Aug 08, 2026 - 08:00

0 1.19

1 1.41

xG Accuracy: 64%

Chertanovo

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Chertanovo Chertanovo ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 01:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2809930

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Chertanovo win · Zvezda Perm W 0–1 Chertanovo

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Supreme Division Women
Fixture: Zvezda Perm W vs Chertanovo
Kickoff: 2026-08-08 10:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 30.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away 40.5%
xG (showing): Zvezda Perm W 1.19 — Chertanovo 1.41 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Supreme Division Women — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Zenit W	17	15	2	0	47
2	CSKA Moskva W	18	15	1	2	46
3	Spartak Moskva	17	12	4	1	40
4	Lokomotiv Moskva W	17	11	3	3	36
5	Krylya Sovetov W	17	9	3	5	30
6	Dinamo Moskva	17	9	1	7	28
7	Chertanovo	18	6	3	9	21
8	Rubin Kazan	18	4	8	6	20
9	Zvezda Perm W	18	4	3	11	15
10	Krasnodar W	18	2	7	9	13
11	Rostov	18	3	2	13	11
12	Ryazan W	18	1	6	11	9
13	Yenisey W	17	0	3	14	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Zenit W	17	48	5	+43	47
2	CSKA Moskva W	18	47	9	+38	46
3	Spartak Moskva	17	41	11	+30	40
4	Lokomotiv Moskva W	17	33	9	+24	36
5	Krylya Sovetov W	17	25	20	+5	30
6	Chertanovo	18	22	30	-8	21
7	Rubin Kazan	18	20	25	-5	20
8	Dinamo Moskva	17	19	14	+5	28
9	Krasnodar W	18	15	29	-14	13
10	Zvezda Perm W	18	11	32	-21	15
11	Ryazan W	18	10	36	-26	9
12	Yenisey W	17	7	40	-33	3
13	Rostov	18	5	43	-38	11