Krylya Sovetov W vs Chertanovo Statistics & Analysis

Krylya Sovetov W

Jul 18, 2026 - 13:00

1 1.34

1 1.26

xG Accuracy: 85%

Chertanovo

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Krylya Sovetov W Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 16:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1618587

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Krylya Sovetov W 1–1 Chertanovo

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Russian Women's Supreme Division
Fixture: Krylya Sovetov W vs Chertanovo
Kickoff: 2026-07-18 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): Krylya Sovetov W 1.34 — Chertanovo 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Supreme Division Women — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Zenit W	18	16	2	0	50
2	CSKA Moskva W	19	16	1	2	49
3	Spartak Moskva	18	13	4	1	43
4	Lokomotiv Moskva W	18	11	4	3	37
5	Krylya Sovetov W	18	9	4	5	31
6	Dinamo Moskva	18	9	1	8	28
7	Rubin Kazan	19	5	8	6	23
8	Chertanovo	19	6	3	10	21
9	Zvezda Perm W	19	4	4	11	16
10	Krasnodar W	18	2	7	9	13
11	Rostov	19	3	3	13	12
12	Ryazan W	19	1	6	12	9
13	Yenisey W	18	0	3	15	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Zenit W	18	51	5	+46	50
2	CSKA Moskva W	19	51	9	+42	49
3	Spartak Moskva	18	44	11	+33	43
4	Lokomotiv Moskva W	18	33	9	+24	37
5	Krylya Sovetov W	18	25	20	+5	31
6	Rubin Kazan	19	22	25	-3	23
7	Chertanovo	19	22	34	-12	21
8	Dinamo Moskva	18	19	17	+2	28
9	Krasnodar W	18	15	29	-14	13
10	Zvezda Perm W	19	12	33	-21	16
11	Ryazan W	19	10	39	-29	9
12	Yenisey W	18	7	42	-35	3
13	Rostov	19	6	44	-38	12