Statistics / Football / Russia. Supreme Division Women / Zvezda Perm W vs Krasnodar W

Zvezda Perm W vs Krasnodar W Statistics & Analysis

Zvezda Perm W Zvezda Perm W
Jul 11, 2026 - 08:00
2 1.16
1 1.44
xG Accuracy: 70%
Krasnodar W Krasnodar W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Krasnodar W Zvezda Perm W ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 2-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 20:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1506242

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Zvezda Perm W win · Zvezda Perm W 2–1 Krasnodar W
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Supreme Division Women
  • Fixture: Zvezda Perm W vs Krasnodar W
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-11 08:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 28.8% · Draw 29.3% · Away 41.9%
  • xG (showing): Zvezda Perm W 1.16 — Krasnodar W 1.44 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Supreme Division Women Supreme Division Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Zenit W 18 16 2 0 50
2 CSKA Moskva W 19 16 1 2 49
3 Spartak Moskva 18 13 4 1 43
4 Lokomotiv Moskva W 18 11 4 3 37
5 Krylya Sovetov W 18 9 4 5 31
6 Dinamo Moskva 18 9 1 8 28
7 Rubin Kazan 19 5 8 6 23
8 Chertanovo 19 6 3 10 21
9 Zvezda Perm W 19 4 4 11 16
10 Krasnodar W 18 2 7 9 13
11 Rostov 19 3 3 13 12
12 Ryazan W 19 1 6 12 9
13 Yenisey W 18 0 3 15 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Zenit W 18 51 5 +46 50
2 CSKA Moskva W 19 51 9 +42 49
3 Spartak Moskva 18 44 11 +33 43
4 Lokomotiv Moskva W 18 33 9 +24 37
5 Krylya Sovetov W 18 25 20 +5 31
6 Rubin Kazan 19 22 25 -3 23
7 Chertanovo 19 22 34 -12 21
8 Dinamo Moskva 18 19 17 +2 28
9 Krasnodar W 18 15 29 -14 13
10 Zvezda Perm W 19 12 33 -21 16
11 Ryazan W 19 10 39 -29 9
12 Yenisey W 18 7 42 -35 3
13 Rostov 19 6 44 -38 12
Supreme Division Women Russia. Supreme Division Women Predictions