Statistics / Football / Serbia. Srpska Liga - Vojvodina / Naftagas vs OFK Vrbas

Naftagas vs OFK Vrbas Statistics & Analysis

Naftagas Naftagas
May 09, 2026 - 15:00
5 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 27%
OFK Vrbas OFK Vrbas
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Naftagas Naftagas ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 0-0, 0-1, 2-0 5-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 14:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1609253

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Naftagas win · Naftagas 5–0 OFK Vrbas
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
  • Fixture: Naftagas vs OFK Vrbas
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Naftagas 1.45 — OFK Vrbas 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 57.0% · Over 2.5 43.0%); BTTS Yes (Yes 58.3% · No 41.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 58.3% · No 41.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (12.7%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Naftagas & OFK Vrbas!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Srpska Liga - Vojvodina Srpska Liga - Vojvodina — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Naftagas 30 22 3 5 69
2 Zeleznicar Inđija 30 18 6 6 60
3 Jedinstvo Stara Pazova 30 15 7 8 52
4 Hajduk Divoš 30 14 6 10 48
5 Sloven Ruma 30 13 9 8 48
6 Sloboda DT 30 11 10 9 43
7 Mladost Bački Jarak 30 12 7 11 43
8 Dinamo Pančevo 30 12 7 11 43
9 OFK Vrbas 30 12 7 11 43
10 OFK Bačka 30 10 12 8 42
11 FK Veternik 30 12 6 12 42
12 Sloga Čonoplja 30 9 8 13 35
13 Omladinac NB 30 7 7 16 28
14 FK Mladost Omoljica 30 7 5 18 26
15 Indjija 30 4 10 16 22
16 Kikinda 30 4 6 20 18
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Zeleznicar Inđija 30 60 31 +29 60
2 Naftagas 30 56 20 +36 69
3 Mladost Bački Jarak 30 50 41 +9 43
4 Hajduk Divoš 30 48 33 +15 48
5 Sloven Ruma 30 45 32 +13 48
6 Sloboda DT 30 42 33 +9 43
7 Jedinstvo Stara Pazova 30 42 39 +3 52
8 OFK Vrbas 30 42 44 -2 43
9 Sloga Čonoplja 30 39 50 -11 35
10 OFK Bačka 30 37 34 +3 42
11 FK Veternik 30 37 37 0 42
12 Dinamo Pančevo 30 37 45 -8 43
13 Omladinac NB 30 33 49 -16 28
14 FK Mladost Omoljica 30 26 45 -19 26
15 Kikinda 30 26 69 -43 18
16 Indjija 30 24 42 -18 22