Statistics / Football / Gambia. GFA League / Dutch Lions vs Brikama United

Dutch Lions vs Brikama United Statistics & Analysis

Dutch Lions Dutch Lions
Jun 22, 2026 - 16:30
3 0.98
3 0.90
xG Accuracy: 32%
Brikama United Brikama United
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 draw Draw ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 3-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 27, 2026 · 08:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1991399

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Dutch Lions 3–3 Brikama United
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: GFA League
  • Fixture: Dutch Lions vs Brikama United
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-22 16:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.4% · Draw 35.5% · Away 30.1%
  • xG (showing): Dutch Lions 0.98 — Brikama United 0.9 (total xG ≈ 1.88)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 70.9% · Over 2.5 29.1%); BTTS No (Yes 38.8% · No 61.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 38.8% · No 61.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-0 (15.3%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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GFA League GFA League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Medina United 28 14 6 8 48
2 Fortune 28 12 11 5 47
3 Bombada 28 11 11 6 44
4 GPA 28 11 11 6 44
5 Brikama United 28 11 9 8 42
6 Real de Banjul 28 9 14 5 41
7 Team Rhino 28 9 10 9 37
8 Hart Acedemy 28 8 11 9 35
9 Dutch Lions 28 7 12 9 33
10 BST Galaxy 28 7 12 9 33
11 Hawks 28 7 10 11 31
12 Falcons 28 6 13 9 31
13 Greater Tomorrow 28 7 10 11 31
14 Steve Biko 28 5 14 9 29
15 TMT 28 6 11 11 29
16 Samger 28 5 13 10 28
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bombada 28 34 26 +8 44
2 Brikama United 28 33 27 +6 42
3 Hart Acedemy 28 32 31 +1 35
4 Fortune 28 31 21 +10 47
5 Medina United 28 31 24 +7 48
6 Dutch Lions 28 29 28 +1 33
7 Real de Banjul 28 28 21 +7 41
8 Team Rhino 28 25 23 +2 37
9 BST Galaxy 28 24 31 -7 33
10 Steve Biko 28 23 26 -3 29
11 Hawks 28 23 29 -6 31
12 GPA 28 22 17 +5 44
13 Greater Tomorrow 28 22 32 -10 31
14 Samger 28 20 25 -5 28
15 TMT 28 17 27 -10 29
16 Falcons 28 16 22 -6 31