Statistics / Football / China. League One / Dongguan United vs Guangxi Hengchen

Dongguan United vs Guangxi Hengchen Statistics & Analysis

Dongguan United Dongguan United
Oct 07, 2026 - 11:30
1 1.23
0 1.37
xG Accuracy: 64%
Guangxi Hengchen Guangxi Hengchen
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Guangxi Hengchen Dongguan United ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 01, 2026 · 01:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12183108

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Dongguan United win · Dongguan United 1–0 Guangxi Hengchen
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: League One
  • Fixture: Dongguan United vs Guangxi Hengchen
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-07 11:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.5%
  • xG (showing): Dongguan United 1.23 — Guangxi Hengchen 1.37 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
League One League One — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Guangzhou E-Power 26 18 6 2 60
2 Nantong Zhiyun 26 13 9 4 48
3 Guangxi Hengchen 26 13 7 6 46
4 Shenzhen Juniors 26 12 9 5 45
5 Shaanxi Union 26 12 6 8 42
6 Wuxi Wugou 26 10 6 10 36
7 Yanbian Longding 26 9 9 8 36
8 Hebei Kungfu 26 9 8 9 35
9 Changchun Yatai 26 10 5 11 31
10 Ningbo Professional 26 9 6 11 30
11 Dalian Huayi 26 7 9 10 30
12 Suzhou Dongwu 26 7 10 9 28
13 Heilongjiang Lava Spring 26 4 12 10 24
14 Nanjing City 26 5 7 14 22
15 Meizhou Kejia 26 7 4 15 16
16 Dongguan United 26 3 7 16 16
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Guangzhou E-Power 26 55 22 +33 60
2 Shaanxi Union 26 47 28 +19 42
3 Guangxi Hengchen 26 41 28 +13 46
4 Shenzhen Juniors 26 41 30 +11 45
5 Wuxi Wugou 26 41 31 +10 36
6 Changchun Yatai 26 39 42 -3 31
7 Heilongjiang Lava Spring 26 36 49 -13 24
8 Nantong Zhiyun 26 35 20 +15 48
9 Yanbian Longding 26 34 29 +5 36
10 Dalian Huayi 26 31 38 -7 30
11 Suzhou Dongwu 26 30 35 -5 28
12 Ningbo Professional 26 27 31 -4 30
13 Dongguan United 26 26 54 -28 16
14 Meizhou Kejia 26 25 53 -28 16
15 Hebei Kungfu 26 23 25 -2 35
16 Nanjing City 26 21 37 -16 22
League One China. League One Predictions