Statistics / Football / Kazakhstan. Premier League / Kaisar vs Okzhetpes

Kaisar vs Okzhetpes Statistics & Analysis

Kaisar Kaisar
Aug 29, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.34
3 1.26
xG Accuracy: 52%
Okzhetpes Okzhetpes
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Kaisar Okzhetpes ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 03:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5148065

Closing Odds 2.6
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Okzhetpes win · Kaisar 2–3 Okzhetpes
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Kaisar (1X2) 37.0 36.7 +0.3
Draw (1X2) 29.6 28.5 +1.1
Okzhetpes (1X2) 33.4 34.8 -1.4
Over 2.5 goals 48.2 49.1 -0.9
Under 2.5 goals 51.8 50.9 +0.9

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table
Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Kaisar (1X2) 2.46 2.46 0.0
Draw (1X2) 3.17 3.17 0.0
Okzhetpes (1X2) 2.6 2.6 0.0
Over 2.5 goals 1.91 1.91 0.0
Under 2.5 goals 1.84 1.84 0.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Kaisar vs Okzhetpes
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Kaisar 1.34 — Okzhetpes 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 50.2% · Probability edge: +1.6 pts · Est. EV: +2.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Ordabasy 25 18 4 3 58
2 Kairat Almaty 25 17 6 2 57
3 FC Astana 24 13 6 5 45
4 Okzhetpes 25 12 6 7 42
5 Aktobe 25 12 5 8 41
6 Yelimay Semey 24 9 8 7 35
7 FK Tobol Kostanay 25 10 4 11 34
8 Zhenys 25 8 8 9 32
9 Ulytau 25 8 7 10 31
10 Kaspiy 25 7 5 13 26
11 Kyzyl-Zhar 25 6 6 13 24
12 Atyrau 24 4 11 9 23
13 Irtysh 24 5 8 11 23
14 Kaisar 25 4 11 10 23
15 Altay 25 5 8 12 23
16 Zhetysu 25 5 7 13 22
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Kairat Almaty 25 51 19 +32 57
2 Ordabasy 25 48 18 +30 58
3 FC Astana 24 41 25 +16 45
4 Okzhetpes 25 38 34 +4 42
5 Aktobe 25 36 29 +7 41
6 Yelimay Semey 24 33 33 0 35
7 FK Tobol Kostanay 25 33 33 0 34
8 Kyzyl-Zhar 25 27 38 -11 24
9 Kaspiy 25 26 36 -10 26
10 Zhetysu 25 26 43 -17 22
11 Zhenys 25 25 29 -4 32
12 Irtysh 24 24 33 -9 23
13 Altay 25 24 36 -12 23
14 Ulytau 25 22 30 -8 31
15 Kaisar 25 21 32 -11 23
16 Atyrau 24 18 25 -7 23
Premier League Kazakhstan. Premier League Predictions