Statistics / Football / Russia. Second League A - Division A Gold / Kaluga vs Leningradets

Kaluga vs Leningradets Statistics & Analysis

Kaluga Kaluga
May 23, 2026 - 11:00
0 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 63%
Leningradets Leningradets
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Kaluga Leningradets ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 31, 2026 · 13:52 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2615989

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Leningradets win · Kaluga 0–1 Leningradets
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Second League A - Division A Gold
  • Fixture: Kaluga vs Leningradets
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-23 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Kaluga 1.45 — Leningradets 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 49.4% · Implied: 43.2% · Probability edge: +6.1 pts · Est. EV: +6.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 41.7% · No 58.3%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.9%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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Second League A - Division A Gold Second League A - Division A Gold — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Veles 18 9 6 3 33
2 Volgar Astrakhan 18 9 5 4 32
3 Tekstilshchik 18 8 6 4 30
4 Mashuk-KMV 18 8 6 4 30
5 Novosibirsk 18 7 3 8 24
6 Leningradets 18 7 3 8 24
7 Tyumen 18 6 5 7 23
8 Dinamo Kirov 18 5 5 8 20
9 Alaniya Vladikavkaz 18 5 2 11 17
10 Dinamo Moskva II 18 1 9 8 12
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Tyumen 18 31 26 +5 23
2 Veles 18 26 12 +14 33
3 Novosibirsk 18 26 18 +8 24
4 Tekstilshchik 18 24 16 +8 30
5 Leningradets 18 22 25 -3 24
6 Mashuk-KMV 18 20 17 +3 30
7 Dinamo Kirov 18 20 24 -4 20
8 Alaniya Vladikavkaz 18 19 30 -11 17
9 Volgar Astrakhan 18 18 11 +7 32
10 Dinamo Moskva II 18 9 36 -27 12
Second League A - Division A Gold Russia. Second League A - Division A Gold Predictions