Statistics / Football / Tajikistan. Vysshaya Liga / Eskhata vs Barki Tajik

Eskhata vs Barki Tajik Statistics & Analysis

Eskhata Eskhata
Aug 14, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.32
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 68%
Barki Tajik Barki Tajik
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Eskhata Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 08, 2026 · 01:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3226494

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Eskhata 2–2 Barki Tajik
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Vysshaya Liga
  • Fixture: Eskhata vs Barki Tajik
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-14 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Eskhata 1.32 — Barki Tajik 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Eskhata & Barki Tajik!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Vysshaya Liga Vysshaya Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Istiqlol 17 11 4 2 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 37
3 Khosilot Farkhor 17 10 4 3 34
4 Barki Tajik 16 7 3 6 24
5 CSKA Pomir 16 7 3 6 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 24
7 Ravshan 17 6 4 7 22
8 Khatlon 17 4 8 5 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 19
10 Parvoz 17 4 3 10 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Khosilot Farkhor 17 34 17 +17 34
2 Barki Tajik 16 24 23 +1 24
3 Khatlon 17 24 24 0 20
4 Istiqlol 17 23 6 +17 37
5 Regar-TadAZ 17 23 9 +14 37
6 Ravshan 17 23 19 +4 22
7 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 23 31 -8 11
8 Eskhata 17 22 32 -10 19
9 CSKA Pomir 16 18 20 -2 24
10 Khujand 16 15 11 +4 24
11 Parvoz 17 15 32 -17 15
12 Istaravshan 17 15 35 -20 6