San Antonio vs 9 de Octubre Statistics & Analysis

San Antonio

Aug 20, 2026 - 21:10

0 1.24

0 1.36

xG Accuracy: 49%

9 de Octubre

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 9 de Octubre Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 13, 2026 · 02:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3822693

Closing Odds 2.6

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Draw · San Antonio 0–0 9 de Octubre

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices San Antonio (1X2), 9 de Octubre (1X2), Over 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Over 2.5 goals by about 17.1 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
San Antonio (1X2)	32.4	31.0	+1.4
Draw (1X2)	29.6	35.2	-5.6
9 de Octubre (1X2)	38.0	33.8	+4.3
Over 2.5 goals	48.2	31.1	+17.1
Under 2.5 goals	51.8	68.9	-17.1

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 48.2% on Over 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 31.1%. The difference — about 17.1 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE30)	Closing (PRE1)
San Antonio (1X2)	2.95	2.95
Draw (1X2)	2.6	2.6
9 de Octubre (1X2)	2.71	2.71
Over 2.5 goals	2.99	2.99
Under 2.5 goals	1.35	1.35

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga Pro Serie B
Fixture: San Antonio vs 9 de Octubre
Kickoff: 2026-08-20 21:10:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
xG (showing): San Antonio 1.24 — 9 de Octubre 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 33.1% · Probability edge: +15.1 pts · Est. EV: +46.5%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for San Antonio & 9 de Octubre!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

Liga Pro Serie B — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Ind. Juniors	22	10	9	3	39
2	Atletico FC	22	9	11	2	38
3	9 de Octubre	22	9	10	3	37
4	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	22	9	7	6	34
5	Cuniburo	22	8	7	7	31
6	San Antonio	22	7	10	5	31
7	Gualaceo SC	22	7	8	7	29
8	Santo Domingo	22	6	10	6	28
9	LDU Portoviejo	22	7	6	9	27
10	Cumbayá	22	5	11	6	26
11	22 de Julio	22	4	3	15	15
12	El Nacional	22	2	6	14	12

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Ind. Juniors	22	28	16	+12	39
2	Atletico FC	22	25	14	+11	38
3	Cuniburo	22	25	17	+8	31
4	San Antonio	22	24	21	+3	31
5	9 de Octubre	22	22	14	+8	37
6	Cumbayá	22	22	22	0	26
7	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	22	20	23	-3	34
8	Gualaceo SC	22	19	16	+3	29
9	Santo Domingo	22	17	16	+1	28
10	LDU Portoviejo	22	17	22	-5	27
11	El Nacional	22	15	32	-17	12
12	22 de Julio	22	10	31	-21	15