Statistics / Football / Belarus. Premier League / Baranovichi vs Bate Borisov

Baranovichi vs Bate Borisov Statistics & Analysis

Baranovichi Baranovichi
Aug 09, 2026 - 13:45
2 1.28
2 1.32
xG Accuracy: 68%
Bate Borisov Bate Borisov
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Bate Borisov Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 04, 2026 · 01:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2963983

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Baranovichi 2–2 Bate Borisov
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Baranovichi vs Bate Borisov
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-09 13:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Baranovichi 1.28 — Bate Borisov 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 FC Isloch Minsk R. 21 13 6 2 45
2 ML Vitebsk 20 11 8 1 41
3 Dinamo Minsk 20 12 4 4 40
4 Dinamo Brest 22 11 4 7 37
5 FC Gomel 22 10 6 6 36
6 Neman 21 10 4 7 34
7 FC Minsk 22 10 4 8 34
8 FC Vitebsk 22 9 6 7 33
9 Torpedo Zhodino 21 7 6 8 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 21 6 7 8 25
11 Baranovichi 22 6 7 9 25
12 Arsenal 22 5 8 9 23
13 Bate Borisov 21 3 9 9 18
14 Belshina 21 4 6 11 18
15 FC Dnepr Mogilev 22 2 10 10 16
16 Naftan 22 2 5 15 11
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 ML Vitebsk 20 37 16 +21 41
2 FC Isloch Minsk R. 21 36 16 +20 45
3 Dinamo Minsk 20 35 16 +19 40
4 Dinamo Brest 22 34 21 +13 37
5 FC Gomel 22 31 18 +13 36
6 FC Minsk 22 30 26 +4 34
7 Torpedo Zhodino 21 28 23 +5 27
8 Neman 21 24 19 +5 34
9 Baranovichi 22 24 36 -12 25
10 Slavia Mozyr 21 23 25 -2 25
11 Arsenal 22 23 36 -13 23
12 FC Vitebsk 22 22 21 +1 33
13 Belshina 21 20 36 -16 18
14 Naftan 22 19 54 -35 11
15 FC Dnepr Mogilev 22 18 32 -14 16
16 Bate Borisov 21 16 25 -9 18
Premier League Belarus. Premier League Predictions