Statistics / Football / USA. USL League Two / Virginia Marauders vs Charlottesville Blues

Virginia Marauders vs Charlottesville Blues Statistics & Analysis

Virginia Marauders Virginia Marauders
Jun 17, 2026 - 23:30
0 1.09
4 1.51
xG Accuracy: 37%
Charlottesville Blues Charlottesville Blues
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Charlottesville Blues Charlottesville Blues ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 23:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1657570

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Charlottesville Blues win · Virginia Marauders 0–4 Charlottesville Blues
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: USL League Two
  • Fixture: Virginia Marauders vs Charlottesville Blues
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-17 23:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 25.8% · Draw 28.9% · Away 45.3%
  • xG (showing): Virginia Marauders 1.09 — Charlottesville Blues 1.51 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.2%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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