Statistics / Football / Australia. Queensland Premier League / Ipswich vs North Star

Ipswich vs North Star Statistics & Analysis

Ipswich Ipswich
Jul 18, 2026 - 07:30
3 1.30
2 1.30
xG Accuracy: 52%
North Star North Star
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Ipswich Ipswich ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 18:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1483496

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Ipswich win · Ipswich 3–2 North Star
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Queensland Premier League
  • Fixture: Ipswich vs North Star
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-18 07:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Ipswich 1.3 — North Star 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Queensland Premier League Queensland Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 54
2 Broadbeach United 22 16 4 2 52
3 SC Wanderers 22 10 7 5 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 31
7 Redlands United 22 8 6 8 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 21
11 St George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13
12 Capalaba 22 3 2 17 11
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 52 18 +34 54
2 Broadbeach United 22 51 20 +31 52
3 SC Wanderers 22 46 28 +18 37
4 Caboolture 22 45 38 +7 31
5 Redlands United 22 40 38 +2 30
6 Holland Park Hawks 22 40 48 -8 30
7 Logan Lightning 22 39 41 -2 27
8 Robina City 22 36 29 +7 32
9 Ipswich 22 35 30 +5 35
10 North Star 22 22 41 -19 21
11 Capalaba 22 21 57 -36 11
12 St George Willawong 22 13 52 -39 13