Statistics / Football / Brazil. Serie B / Londrina vs Criciuma

Londrina vs Criciuma Statistics & Analysis

Londrina Londrina
Oct 02, 2026 - 23:30
0 1.16
2 1.16
xG Accuracy: 58%
Criciuma Criciuma
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Londrina Criciuma ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 03:20 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10986565

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Criciuma win · Londrina 0–2 Criciuma
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Serie B
  • Fixture: Londrina vs Criciuma
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 23:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 31.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Londrina 1.16 — Criciuma 1.16 (total xG ≈ 2.32)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 59.1% · Over 2.5 40.9%); BTTS No (Yes 48.9% · No 51.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 48.9% · No 51.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (13.2%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Serie B Serie B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Juventude 32 17 8 7 59
2 Vila Nova 32 17 7 8 58
3 Fortaleza EC 32 15 11 6 56
4 Novorizontino 31 15 9 7 54
5 Criciuma 31 15 8 8 53
6 Atletico Goianiense 32 14 10 8 52
7 CRB 32 15 6 11 51
8 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 50
9 Operario-PR 32 13 9 10 48
10 Cuiaba 32 11 14 7 47
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 45
12 São Bernardo 32 12 9 11 45
13 Nautico Recife 31 11 9 11 42
14 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 42
15 Ceara 31 10 9 12 39
16 Botafogo SP 32 10 8 14 38
17 Avai 32 9 6 17 33
18 Londrina 32 7 7 18 28
19 America Mineiro 32 4 5 23 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 13
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Novorizontino 31 52 27 +25 54
2 CRB 32 49 45 +4 51
3 Vila Nova 32 44 31 +13 58
4 Sport Recife 32 44 34 +10 50
5 São Bernardo 32 44 34 +10 45
6 Operario-PR 32 44 43 +1 48
7 Atletico Goianiense 32 40 30 +10 52
8 Londrina 32 40 47 -7 28
9 Nautico Recife 31 39 38 +1 42
10 Athletic Club 32 38 37 +1 42
11 Juventude 32 37 19 +18 59
12 Fortaleza EC 32 37 27 +10 56
13 Botafogo SP 32 36 38 -2 38
14 Ceara 31 34 39 -5 39
15 Criciuma 31 33 27 +6 53
16 Cuiaba 32 32 25 +7 47
17 Goias 32 32 40 -8 45
18 Avai 32 32 43 -11 33
19 America Mineiro 32 21 53 -32 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 17 68 -51 13
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Novorizontino 31 17.2 9.2 +8.0 54
2 Fortaleza EC 32 16.8 10.1 +6.7 56
3 Cuiaba 32 12.3 7.0 +5.3 47
4 Atletico Goianiense 32 15.2 11.1 +4.1 52
5 Avai 32 11.9 8.5 +3.4 33
6 Vila Nova 32 13.3 10.1 +3.2 58
7 CRB 32 18.6 15.8 +2.8 51
8 Juventude 32 10.2 8.0 +2.2 59
9 Criciuma 31 10.0 8.1 +1.9 53
10 Sport Recife 32 13.7 12.6 +1.1 50
11 Londrina 32 10.4 9.6 +0.8 28
12 São Bernardo 32 12.6 12.6 0.0 45
13 Botafogo SP 32 13.7 13.8 -0.1 38
14 Nautico Recife 31 15.3 16.1 -0.8 42
15 Goias 32 11.8 13.1 -1.3 45
16 Operario-PR 32 12.8 16.2 -3.4 48
17 Ceara 31 9.1 14.2 -5.1 39
18 America Mineiro 32 11.7 16.9 -5.2 17
19 Athletic Club 32 11.9 19.2 -7.3 42
20 Ponte Preta 32 8.7 24.8 -16.1 13
Serie B Brazil. Serie B Predictions