Statistics / Football / Brazil. Serie B / Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro

Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro Statistics & Analysis

Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
Oct 03, 2026 - 19:00
2 1.70
0 1.01
xG Accuracy: 70%
America Mineiro America Mineiro
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 2-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11260803

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Atletico Goianiense win · Atletico Goianiense 2–0 America Mineiro
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Serie B
  • Fixture: Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 19:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 54.9% · Draw 25.8% · Away 19.2%
  • xG (showing): Atletico Goianiense 1.7 — America Mineiro 1.01 (total xG ≈ 2.71)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 53.4% · Implied: 46.6% · Probability edge: +6.8 pts · Est. EV: +9.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.4% · No 46.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.4%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Serie B Serie B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Vila Nova 31 17 6 8 57
2 Juventude 31 16 8 7 56
3 Novorizontino 31 15 9 7 54
4 Criciuma 31 15 8 8 53
5 Fortaleza EC 31 14 11 6 53
6 Atletico Goianiense 31 14 10 7 52
7 CRB 31 14 6 11 48
8 Operario-PR 31 13 9 9 48
9 Sport Recife 31 12 11 8 47
10 Cuiaba 31 11 13 7 46
11 São Bernardo 31 12 9 10 45
12 Goias 31 12 6 13 42
13 Nautico Recife 31 11 9 11 42
14 Athletic Club 31 10 12 9 42
15 Ceara 31 10 9 12 39
16 Botafogo SP 31 9 8 14 35
17 Avai 31 8 6 17 30
18 Londrina 31 7 7 17 28
19 America Mineiro 31 4 5 22 17
20 Ponte Preta 31 3 4 24 13
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Novorizontino 31 52 27 +25 54
2 CRB 31 46 44 +2 48
3 Vila Nova 31 44 31 +13 57
4 São Bernardo 31 43 32 +11 45
5 Operario-PR 31 43 41 +2 48
6 Sport Recife 31 42 33 +9 47
7 Atletico Goianiense 31 39 27 +12 52
8 Nautico Recife 31 39 38 +1 42
9 Londrina 31 39 45 -6 28
10 Athletic Club 31 37 35 +2 42
11 Fortaleza EC 31 36 27 +9 53
12 Juventude 31 35 19 +16 56
13 Botafogo SP 31 34 37 -3 35
14 Ceara 31 34 39 -5 39
15 Criciuma 31 33 27 +6 53
16 Cuiaba 31 32 25 +7 46
17 Goias 31 30 39 -9 42
18 Avai 31 30 42 -12 30
19 America Mineiro 31 21 52 -31 17
20 Ponte Preta 31 17 66 -49 13
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Novorizontino 31 17.2 9.2 +8.0 54
2 Fortaleza EC 31 16.8 10.1 +6.7 53
3 Cuiaba 31 12.3 7.0 +5.3 46
4 Atletico Goianiense 31 15.2 11.1 +4.1 52
5 Avai 31 11.9 8.5 +3.4 30
6 Vila Nova 31 13.3 10.1 +3.2 57
7 CRB 31 18.6 15.8 +2.8 48
8 Juventude 31 10.2 8.0 +2.2 56
9 Criciuma 31 10.0 8.1 +1.9 53
10 Sport Recife 31 13.7 12.6 +1.1 47
11 Londrina 31 10.4 9.6 +0.8 28
12 São Bernardo 31 12.6 12.6 0.0 45
13 Botafogo SP 31 13.7 13.8 -0.1 35
14 Nautico Recife 31 15.3 16.1 -0.8 42
15 Goias 31 11.8 13.1 -1.3 42
16 Operario-PR 31 12.8 16.2 -3.4 48
17 Ceara 31 9.1 14.2 -5.1 39
18 America Mineiro 31 11.7 16.9 -5.2 17
19 Athletic Club 31 11.9 19.2 -7.3 42
20 Ponte Preta 31 8.7 24.8 -16.1 13
Serie B Brazil. Serie B Predictions