Statistics / Football / South-Korea. K3 League / Yeoju Sejong vs Jeonbuk Motors II

Yeoju Sejong vs Jeonbuk Motors II Statistics & Analysis

Oct 03, 2026 - 05:00
2 1.39
1 1.21
xG Accuracy: 80%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 00:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11216982

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Yeoju Sejong win · Yeoju Sejong 2–1 Jeonbuk Motors II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: K3 League
  • Fixture: Yeoju Sejong vs Jeonbuk Motors II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 05:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): Yeoju Sejong 1.39 — Jeonbuk Motors II 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 48.0% · Probability edge: +3.8 pts · Est. EV: +3.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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K3 League K3 League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Siheung Citizen 24 17 4 3 55
2 Pocheon 24 14 7 3 49
3 Daejeon Korail 24 12 5 7 41
4 Busan Transportation 24 11 7 6 40
5 Gyeongju HNP 24 9 9 6 36
6 Dangjin Citizen 24 10 4 10 34
7 Chuncheon 24 9 6 9 33
8 Gangneung City 24 8 6 10 30
9 Changwon City 24 7 8 9 29
10 Ulsan Citizen 24 8 4 12 28
11 Yeoju Sejong 24 7 7 10 28
12 Mokpo City 24 5 10 9 25
13 Yangpyeong 24 4 8 12 20
14 Jeonbuk Motors II 24 1 7 16 10
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Dangjin Citizen 24 47 39 +8 34
2 Busan Transportation 24 42 30 +12 40
3 Chuncheon 24 42 37 +5 33
4 Pocheon 24 41 20 +21 49
5 Siheung Citizen 24 38 22 +16 55
6 Gyeongju HNP 24 36 32 +4 36
7 Daejeon Korail 24 33 19 +14 41
8 Yangpyeong 24 30 46 -16 20
9 Changwon City 24 27 31 -4 29
10 Yeoju Sejong 24 27 31 -4 28
11 Ulsan Citizen 24 25 28 -3 28
12 Jeonbuk Motors II 24 25 54 -29 10
13 Gangneung City 24 23 33 -10 30
14 Mokpo City 24 23 37 -14 25