Statistics / Football / Canada. Canadian Premier League / Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC

Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC Statistics & Analysis

⚽
Supra du Quebec
Oct 04, 2026 - 20:00
5 1.78
0 1.92
xG Accuracy: 24%
Pacific FC Pacific FC
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Pacific FC Supra du Quebec ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 1-3 5-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11687755

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Supra du Quebec win · Supra du Quebec 5–0 Pacific FC
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Canadian Premier League
  • Fixture: Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 20:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.3% · Draw 23.7% · Away 40.9%
  • xG (showing): Supra du Quebec 1.78 — Pacific FC 1.92 (total xG ≈ 3.7)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 72.0% · Implied: 63.4% · Probability edge: +8.6 pts · Est. EV: +8.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 72.0% · No 28.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (8.4%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Canadian Premier League Canadian Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Cavalry FC 25 16 5 4 53
2 Forge 24 14 6 4 48
3 Atlético Ottawa 25 12 4 9 40
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 33
5 Supra du Quebec 24 8 4 12 28
6 HFX Wanderers FC 25 7 6 12 27
7 York United 24 6 9 9 27
8 Pacific FC 24 2 8 14 14
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Cavalry FC 25 51 19 +32 53
2 York United 24 39 54 -15 27
3 Forge 24 38 20 +18 48
4 Atlético Ottawa 25 38 41 -3 40
5 HFX Wanderers FC 25 38 42 -4 27
6 Supra du Quebec 24 36 44 -8 28
7 Vancouver FC 25 35 33 +2 33
8 Pacific FC 24 30 52 -22 14
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Cavalry FC 25 7.3 2.4 +4.9 53
2 Pacific FC 24 12.1 9.3 +2.8 14
3 Forge 24 8.3 6.8 +1.5 48
4 Vancouver FC 25 6.4 5.8 +0.6 33
5 Supra du Quebec 24 9.9 10.1 -0.2 28
6 HFX Wanderers FC 25 9.0 10.8 -1.8 27
7 Atlético Ottawa 25 6.8 9.3 -2.5 40
8 York United 24 7.3 12.5 -5.2 27
Canadian Premier League Canada. Canadian Premier League Predictions