Buxoro vs Andijan Statistics & Analysis

Buxoro

Oct 09, 2026 - 14:00

3 1.35

2 1.25

xG Accuracy: 52%

Andijan

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Buxoro Buxoro ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 01:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12688998

Closing Odds 3.15

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Buxoro win · Buxoro 3–2 Andijan

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE20 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Andijan (1X2) meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Andijan (1X2) by about 3.6 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
Buxoro (1X2)	37.6	41.0	-3.4
Draw (1X2)	29.6	29.8	-0.2
Andijan (1X2)	32.9	29.3	+3.6

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 32.9% on Andijan (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 29.3%. The difference — about 3.6 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE20 → PRE1 · Book: draftkings

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE20)	Closing (PRE1)
Buxoro (1X2)	2.25	2.25
Draw (1X2)	3.1	3.1
Andijan (1X2)	3.15	3.15

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Super League
Fixture: Buxoro vs Andijan
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): Buxoro 1.35 — Andijan 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 43.9% · Probability edge: +4.3 pts · Est. EV: +5.1%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Buxoro & Andijan!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

Super League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Neftchi	22	16	3	3	51
2	Pakhtakor	22	14	7	1	49
3	Navbahor	22	13	5	4	44
4	Olmaliq	22	10	5	7	35
5	Lokomotiv	22	10	5	7	35
6	Nasaf	22	9	7	6	34
7	Buxoro	22	10	4	8	34
8	Andijan	22	9	3	10	30
9	Dinamo Samarqand	22	8	6	8	30
10	Qizilqum	22	9	2	11	29
11	Sogdiana	22	8	4	10	28
12	Surkhon	22	7	5	10	26
13	Bunyodkor	22	7	1	14	22
14	Xorazm	22	5	6	11	21
15	Kokand-1912	22	4	8	10	20
16	Mash'al	22	1	1	20	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Neftchi	22	50	17	+33	51
2	Pakhtakor	22	39	20	+19	49
3	Navbahor	22	39	21	+18	44
4	Sogdiana	22	38	43	-5	28
5	Lokomotiv	22	36	28	+8	35
6	Nasaf	22	33	21	+12	34
7	Dinamo Samarqand	22	33	34	-1	30
8	Buxoro	22	32	29	+3	34
9	Olmaliq	22	31	29	+2	35
10	Andijan	22	27	28	-1	30
11	Qizilqum	22	23	30	-7	29
12	Bunyodkor	22	22	36	-14	22
13	Surkhon	22	19	28	-9	26
14	Kokand-1912	22	19	30	-11	20
15	Xorazm	22	18	32	-14	21
16	Mash'al	22	11	44	-33	4