Statistics / Football / Chile. Primera B / Recoleta vs Magallanes

Recoleta vs Magallanes Statistics & Analysis

Recoleta Recoleta
Oct 10, 2026 - 15:30
1 1.25
2 1.35
xG Accuracy: 78%
Magallanes Magallanes
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Magallanes Magallanes ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13242459

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Magallanes win · Recoleta 1–2 Magallanes
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Primera B
  • Fixture: Recoleta vs Magallanes
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Recoleta 1.25 — Magallanes 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.0%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Primera B Primera B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 47
3 Magallanes 27 13 7 7 46
4 Santiago Wanderers 27 12 8 7 44
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 41
6 Recoleta 27 11 8 8 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 39
8 Deportes Copiapo 26 10 7 9 37
9 Union Espanola 26 10 6 10 36
10 Deportes Temuco 27 9 8 10 35
11 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 34
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 31
13 Curico Unido 27 7 9 11 30
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 27 4 10 13 22
15 Union San Felipe 26 5 7 14 22
16 Rangers de Talca 26 4 6 16 18
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Antofagasta 26 44 26 +18 41
2 Cobreloa 26 44 27 +17 48
3 Magallanes 27 44 39 +5 46
4 Santiago Wanderers 27 42 30 +12 44
5 Deportes Temuco 27 42 37 +5 35
6 San Luis 26 41 29 +12 47
7 Deportes Copiapo 26 40 39 +1 37
8 Recoleta 27 39 36 +3 41
9 Deportes Iquique 26 35 30 +5 31
10 San Marcos de Arica 26 33 24 +9 39
11 Union Espanola 26 32 34 -2 36
12 Deportes Santa Cruz 27 28 42 -14 22
13 D. Puerto Montt 26 26 34 -8 34
14 Curico Unido 27 24 40 -16 30
15 Rangers de Talca 26 23 42 -19 18
16 Union San Felipe 26 16 44 -28 22
Primera B Chile. Primera B Predictions