Statistics / Football / Chile. Primera B / Deportes Iquique vs Union Espanola

Deportes Iquique vs Union Espanola Statistics & Analysis

Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique
Oct 12, 2026 - 20:30
1 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 64%
Union Espanola Union Espanola
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 07, 2026 · 02:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13673905

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Deportes Iquique win · Deportes Iquique 1–0 Union Espanola
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Primera B
  • Fixture: Deportes Iquique vs Union Espanola
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-12 20:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Deportes Iquique 1.32 — Union Espanola 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS No (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Primera B Primera B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 47
3 Magallanes 27 13 7 7 46
4 Santiago Wanderers 27 12 8 7 44
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 41
6 Recoleta 27 11 8 8 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 39
8 Deportes Copiapo 26 10 7 9 37
9 Union Espanola 26 10 6 10 36
10 Deportes Temuco 27 9 8 10 35
11 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 34
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 31
13 Curico Unido 27 7 9 11 30
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 27 4 10 13 22
15 Union San Felipe 26 5 7 14 22
16 Rangers de Talca 26 4 6 16 18
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Antofagasta 26 44 26 +18 41
2 Cobreloa 26 44 27 +17 48
3 Magallanes 27 44 39 +5 46
4 Santiago Wanderers 27 42 30 +12 44
5 Deportes Temuco 27 42 37 +5 35
6 San Luis 26 41 29 +12 47
7 Deportes Copiapo 26 40 39 +1 37
8 Recoleta 27 39 36 +3 41
9 Deportes Iquique 26 35 30 +5 31
10 San Marcos de Arica 26 33 24 +9 39
11 Union Espanola 26 32 34 -2 36
12 Deportes Santa Cruz 27 28 42 -14 22
13 D. Puerto Montt 26 26 34 -8 34
14 Curico Unido 27 24 40 -16 30
15 Rangers de Talca 26 23 42 -19 18
16 Union San Felipe 26 16 44 -28 22
Primera B Chile. Primera B Predictions