Statistics / Football / Chile. Primera B / Deportes Copiapo vs Cobreloa

Deportes Copiapo vs Cobreloa Statistics & Analysis

Deportes Copiapo Deportes Copiapo
Oct 11, 2026 - 18:00
2 1.37
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 79%
Cobreloa Cobreloa
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Deportes Copiapo Deportes Copiapo ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13233752

Closing Odds 2.2
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Deportes Copiapo win · Deportes Copiapo 2–1 Cobreloa
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE20 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Draw (1X2) meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Draw (1X2) by about 3.5 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Deportes Copiapo (1X2) 38.5 42.0 -3.6
Draw (1X2) 29.6 26.1 +3.5
Cobreloa (1X2) 31.9 31.9 +0.1
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 29.6% on Draw (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 26.1%. The difference — about 3.5 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE20 → PRE1 · Book: draftkings

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table
Market Early (PRE20) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Deportes Copiapo (1X2) 2.2 2.2 0.0
Draw (1X2) 3.55 3.55 0.0
Cobreloa (1X2) 2.9 2.9 0.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Primera B
  • Fixture: Deportes Copiapo vs Cobreloa
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Deportes Copiapo 1.37 — Cobreloa 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 47.7% · Probability edge: +4.1 pts · Est. EV: +6.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Deportes Copiapo & Cobreloa!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Primera B Primera B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 47
3 Magallanes 27 13 7 7 46
4 Santiago Wanderers 27 12 8 7 44
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 41
6 Recoleta 27 11 8 8 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 39
8 Deportes Copiapo 26 10 7 9 37
9 Union Espanola 26 10 6 10 36
10 Deportes Temuco 27 9 8 10 35
11 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 34
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 31
13 Curico Unido 27 7 9 11 30
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 27 4 10 13 22
15 Union San Felipe 26 5 7 14 22
16 Rangers de Talca 26 4 6 16 18
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Antofagasta 26 44 26 +18 41
2 Cobreloa 26 44 27 +17 48
3 Magallanes 27 44 39 +5 46
4 Santiago Wanderers 27 42 30 +12 44
5 Deportes Temuco 27 42 37 +5 35
6 San Luis 26 41 29 +12 47
7 Deportes Copiapo 26 40 39 +1 37
8 Recoleta 27 39 36 +3 41
9 Deportes Iquique 26 35 30 +5 31
10 San Marcos de Arica 26 33 24 +9 39
11 Union Espanola 26 32 34 -2 36
12 Deportes Santa Cruz 27 28 42 -14 22
13 D. Puerto Montt 26 26 34 -8 34
14 Curico Unido 27 24 40 -16 30
15 Rangers de Talca 26 23 42 -19 18
16 Union San Felipe 26 16 44 -28 22
Primera B Chile. Primera B Predictions