Statistics / Football / Sweden. Division 2 - Västra Götaland / Lindome vs Böljan

Lindome vs Böljan Statistics & Analysis

Lindome Lindome
Oct 09, 2026 - 17:30
1 1.33
3 1.27
xG Accuracy: 57%
Böljan Böljan
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Lindome Böljan ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12699314

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Böljan win · Lindome 1–3 Böljan
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Division 2 - Västra Götaland
  • Fixture: Lindome vs Böljan
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 17:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Lindome 1.33 — Böljan 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Division 2 - Västra Götaland Division 2 - Västra Götaland — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Landvetter IS 25 18 3 4 57
2 Dalstorps 25 14 7 4 49
3 Jonsered 25 12 6 7 42
4 Hestrafor 24 12 5 7 41
5 Västra Frölunda 24 10 7 7 37
6 Böljan 25 10 7 8 37
7 Lindome 25 11 4 10 37
8 Qviding FIF 25 11 4 10 37
9 Onsala 25 9 6 10 33
10 Torslanda 24 7 7 10 28
11 Kongahälla 25 7 6 12 27
12 Åstorp 25 7 5 13 26
13 Galtabacks 24 5 5 14 20
14 Astrio 25 2 4 19 10
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Dalstorps 25 50 28 +22 49
2 Hestrafor 24 48 39 +9 41
3 Lindome 25 47 43 +4 37
4 Qviding FIF 25 46 45 +1 37
5 Västra Frölunda 24 45 39 +6 37
6 Landvetter IS 25 43 19 +24 57
7 Jonsered 25 42 40 +2 42
8 Böljan 25 39 33 +6 37
9 Torslanda 24 39 42 -3 28
10 Galtabacks 24 38 46 -8 20
11 Kongahälla 25 36 47 -11 27
12 Onsala 25 35 38 -3 33
13 Åstorp 25 30 43 -13 26
14 Astrio 25 22 58 -36 10