Statistics / Football / Sweden. Division 2 - Västra Götaland / Astrio vs Västra Frölunda

Astrio vs Västra Frölunda Statistics & Analysis

Astrio Astrio
Oct 04, 2026 - 11:00
1 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 85%
Västra Frölunda Västra Frölunda
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Astrio Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11662254

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Astrio 1–1 Västra Frölunda
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Division 2 - Västra Götaland
  • Fixture: Astrio vs Västra Frölunda
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Astrio 1.32 — Västra Frölunda 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 31.8% · Probability edge: +20.0 pts · Est. EV: +55.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Division 2 - Västra Götaland Division 2 - Västra Götaland — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Landvetter IS 24 17 3 4 54
2 Dalstorps 24 13 7 4 46
3 Jonsered 24 12 6 6 42
4 Hestrafor 24 12 5 7 41
5 Lindome 24 11 4 9 37
6 Västra Frölunda 23 10 6 7 36
7 Böljan 24 9 7 8 34
8 Qviding FIF 24 10 4 10 34
9 Onsala 24 8 6 10 30
10 Torslanda 24 7 7 10 28
11 Kongahälla 24 7 6 11 27
12 Åstorp 24 7 5 12 26
13 Galtabacks 24 5 5 14 20
14 Astrio 23 2 3 18 9
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Hestrafor 24 48 39 +9 41
2 Dalstorps 24 47 26 +21 46
3 Lindome 24 46 40 +6 37
4 Västra Frölunda 23 44 38 +6 36
5 Qviding FIF 24 44 44 0 34
6 Landvetter IS 24 42 19 +23 54
7 Jonsered 24 40 37 +3 42
8 Torslanda 24 39 42 -3 28
9 Galtabacks 24 38 46 -8 20
10 Böljan 24 36 32 +4 34
11 Kongahälla 24 35 45 -10 27
12 Onsala 24 33 37 -4 30
13 Åstorp 24 29 41 -12 26
14 Astrio 23 21 56 -35 9
Division 2 - Västra Götaland Sweden. Division 2 - Västra Götaland Predictions