Statistics / Football / Sweden. Division 2 - Västra Götaland / Hestrafor vs Torslanda

Hestrafor vs Torslanda Statistics & Analysis

Hestrafor Hestrafor
Aug 29, 2026 - 13:00
3 1.28
1 1.32
xG Accuracy: 57%
Torslanda Torslanda
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Torslanda Hestrafor ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 02:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5133338

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Hestrafor win · Hestrafor 3–1 Torslanda
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Division 2 - Västra Götaland
  • Fixture: Hestrafor vs Torslanda
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Hestrafor 1.28 — Torslanda 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 33.7% · Probability edge: +18.1 pts · Est. EV: +39.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Division 2 - Västra Götaland Division 2 - Västra Götaland — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Landvetter IS 21 15 2 4 47
2 Hestrafor 21 12 4 5 40
3 Dalstorps 21 11 6 4 39
4 Jonsered 21 11 5 5 38
5 Lindome 21 10 4 7 34
6 Västra Frölunda 21 9 6 6 33
7 Böljan 21 9 5 7 32
8 Qviding FIF 20 8 4 8 28
9 Onsala 21 6 6 9 24
10 Åstorp 20 6 5 9 23
11 Torslanda 21 5 7 9 22
12 Kongahälla 21 5 6 10 21
13 Galtabacks 21 4 5 12 17
14 Astrio 21 1 3 17 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Hestrafor 21 46 34 +12 40
2 Dalstorps 21 41 23 +18 39
3 Västra Frölunda 21 41 34 +7 33
4 Lindome 21 39 31 +8 34
5 Qviding FIF 20 39 39 0 28
6 Jonsered 21 38 34 +4 38
7 Landvetter IS 21 37 17 +20 47
8 Böljan 21 34 29 +5 32
9 Torslanda 21 33 38 -5 22
10 Onsala 21 29 35 -6 24
11 Kongahälla 21 29 40 -11 21
12 Galtabacks 21 28 35 -7 17
13 Åstorp 20 25 34 -9 23
14 Astrio 21 15 51 -36 6
Division 2 - Västra Götaland Sweden. Division 2 - Västra Götaland Predictions