Statistics / Football / Sweden. Division 2 - Södra Svealand / Eker Örebro vs Nacka Iliria

Eker Örebro vs Nacka Iliria Statistics & Analysis

Eker Örebro Eker Örebro
Aug 09, 2026 - 11:00
0 1.25
4 1.35
xG Accuracy: 34%
Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 04, 2026 · 00:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2960987

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Nacka Iliria win · Eker Örebro 0–4 Nacka Iliria
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Division 2 - Södra Svealand
  • Fixture: Eker Örebro vs Nacka Iliria
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-09 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Eker Örebro 1.25 — Nacka Iliria 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Division 2 - Södra Svealand Division 2 - Södra Svealand — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Sleipner 22 13 4 5 43
2 Farsta 22 13 3 6 42
3 Forward 22 13 3 6 42
4 Nyköping 23 13 3 7 42
5 Haninge 22 12 3 7 39
6 Rågsved 23 10 6 7 36
7 Smedby 22 10 5 7 35
8 Fittja 23 10 3 10 33
9 Örebro Syrianska 23 8 3 12 27
10 Karlslund 22 7 6 9 27
11 Nacka Iliria 23 7 3 13 24
12 Syrianska FC 23 6 5 12 23
13 Lindo FF 22 5 2 15 17
14 Eker Örebro 22 4 3 15 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Haninge 22 54 42 +12 39
2 Sleipner 22 48 35 +13 43
3 Farsta 22 47 25 +22 42
4 Forward 22 42 26 +16 42
5 Rågsved 23 42 36 +6 36
6 Smedby 22 39 30 +9 35
7 Nyköping 23 38 22 +16 42
8 Fittja 23 36 36 0 33
9 Syrianska FC 23 33 50 -17 23
10 Karlslund 22 31 35 -4 27
11 Lindo FF 22 27 43 -16 17
12 Eker Örebro 22 26 65 -39 15
13 Örebro Syrianska 23 25 27 -2 27
14 Nacka Iliria 23 25 41 -16 24
Division 2 - Södra Svealand Sweden. Division 2 - Södra Svealand Predictions